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Hall, C. B., Lipton, R. B., Sliwinski, M. J., & Stewart, W. F.. (2000). A change point model for estimating the onset of cognitive decline in preclinical Alzheimer's disease. Stat Med, 19(11-12), 1555-66. presented at the 2000 Jun 15-30. doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(20000615/30)19:11/12<1555::aid-sim445>;2-3